Research on the Prediction of Hazardous Chemicals Accidents Based on Improved Grey Model

Abstract

With the rapid development of China's society and economic construction, the production and use of hazardous chemicals are increasing. The possibility of hazardous chemicals accidents is increasing. Because the hazardous chemicals cause great harm and the accidents affect the normal production and life. Hazardous chemicals accidents have become the focus of attention of society and academia. The study of reducing hazardous chemicals accidents is an important research field of safety production in china. The prediction of hazardous chemicals accidents is of great significance to reduce the number of hazardous chemicals. In this paper, we propose an improved grey model for the characteristics of hazardous chemicals accidents to predict the numbers of hazardous chemicals accidents. In the experimental section, we predict the number of hazardous chemicals accidents in china. The experimental results show that the improved grey model and the better fitting result are obtained.